Sample Scenario — Supply Chain Disruption Simulation

The Harlow Foods Recall Exercise

A branching, choose-your-path tabletop built for a packaged food company. A supplier says one of its ingredients may be contaminated, and Harlow can't say for certain which of its own products contain it. Six shared injects establish the problem, then the room's own decision — recall broadly now, or hold and test first — sends the exercise down one of two independent, fully-scripted paths. Neither one is fast enough or narrow enough.

16injects per path
2diverging paths
10 dayssimulated timeline
3.5 hrstypical runtime

Fictional, but built to feel real in the room.

Every detail below is fictional — specific enough to feel real in the room, and generic enough to map onto almost any manufacturer whose product is only as safe as its suppliers' ingredients.

Harlow Foods

A Kansas City-based packaged food company making snack bars, baking mixes, and seasonings, with ~2,600 employees, three plants, and $1.4B in annual revenue. Its products are sold in about 40,000 stores, and it also makes private-label products for three national grocery chains.

Harlow buys dried milk powder from a single approved supplier, Ceres Ingredients, and uses it in 14 products across two plants. Its traceability system tracks every finished lot. It doesn't always track which ingredient lot went into which finished lot. That gap has never mattered before.

Ceres Ingredients — dried milk powder supplier
Private-label customers — three national grocery chains
Food safety regulators — recall oversight and public notices
Consumers — about 2.3 million units potentially affected

The crisis everyone faces.

Six injects, delivered over the first 40 hours, that every player experiences regardless of what the room ultimately decides. This phase ends with the decision that splits the exercise in two.

DAY 0
16:00
INJECT 1Detection

A supplier's notice

Ceres Ingredients notifies Harlow that a routine test found salmonella in one lot of dried milk powder. Ceres has shipped three lots to Harlow from the same production run and can't rule out the other two.

Tests: how a supplier notice is escalated at 4 p.m. — and who decides how seriously to take it.
20:00
INJECT 2Traceability

Which products used it?

Harlow's quality team can trace the milk powder to 14 products across two plants. But for two weeks of production at one plant, records don't show which ingredient lot went into which finished lot. About 2.3 million units could be involved.

Tests: traceability that works at the level of detail a recall actually needs.
DAY 1
09:00
INJECT 3Customers

The retailers call

All three private-label grocery customers ask whether their products are affected, and one asks Harlow to confirm in writing by noon that its products are safe.

Tests: customer communications when you don't yet have the answer they're asking for.
12:00
INJECT 4Regulators

The regulators are already aware

Food safety regulators call. Ceres has already notified them, and they want to know what Harlow plans to do and when.

Tests: engaging regulators who may move faster than your own decision process.
15:00
INJECT 5Public health

Eleven illnesses

A state health department is investigating 11 illnesses caused by a strain matching the one Ceres found. None has been linked to a specific product yet. Three of the people who got sick are children.

Tests: decision-making when there may already be harm, but the link isn't proven.
DAY 2
08:00
INJECT 6Decision point

Recall broadly, or hold and test

The room has two options. Issue a broad voluntary recall now of all 14 products made in the affected period — about 2.3 million units — or place everything on hold, test finished product, and recall only lots that test positive, which would take about five days. The room has to decide.

Tests: consumer safety, business impact, and regulatory expectations when speed and precision pull in opposite directions. This is the fork.

The room decides. The exercise branches.

INJECTS 1–6 DECISION A — RECALL NOW B — HOLD & TEST

From here, the facilitator runs one of two fully independent scripts depending on what the room chose in Inject 6. Toggle between them below to see how each one unfolds — in a live session, players only ever see the one they earned.

Path A — the room recalls broadly nowTen injects. Recalling broadly protects consumers, not the brand — and a recall wider than it needs to be has costs that don't show up until later.
DAY 2
14:00
INJECT 7ARecall

Fourteen products off the shelves

Harlow announces a voluntary recall of 14 products. Retailers start pulling stock, but two private-label customers say they were told after the public announcement, not before.

Tests: sequencing notifications to customers, regulators, and the public in a recall.
DAY 3
10:00
INJECT 8AConsumers

The hotline

Harlow's consumer hotline receives 22,000 calls in a day. Many callers are parents asking whether their children are at risk. The hotline vendor is overwhelmed.

Tests: consumer support at the scale a recall actually generates.
16:00
INJECT 9ASupply

Empty shelves

Retailers report empty shelf space where Harlow products were. One chain says it will give the space to a competitor if Harlow can't resupply within two weeks.

Tests: the commercial cost of a broad recall, and the race to recover shelf space.
DAY 4
11:00
INJECT 10AProduction

Shut down to clean

Both plants that used the milk powder must be cleaned and inspected before restarting. Production of unaffected products at those plants also stops.

Tests: how a recall disrupts the parts of the business that weren't affected.
DAY 5
09:00
INJECT 11ATesting

Most of it was fine

Product testing finds salmonella in only two lots of one product. About 95% of the recalled product appears to have been safe.

Tests: communicating that the recall was broader than necessary without undermining the decision to make it.
DAY 6
14:00
INJECT 12ASupplier

Who pays?

Harlow's recall costs are approaching $38M. Ceres's insurer disputes the claim, arguing Harlow's traceability gap caused the recall to be broader than necessary.

Tests: supplier liability when your own gaps are part of the story.
DAY 7
10:00
INJECT 13APublic health

The link is confirmed

The state health department links four of the illnesses to the one product that tested positive. Harlow's broad recall pulled that product from shelves five days earlier than a narrower approach would have.

Tests: communicating a decision that was right, without sounding self-congratulatory about it.
DAY 8
09:00
INJECT 14ARestart

Resupply under pressure

Retailers want product back quickly. Restarting production needs clean ingredient supply, and Harlow has only one approved milk powder supplier.

Tests: single-source dependency, now visible in the recovery.
DAY 9
09:00
INJECT 15ADecision point

Qualify a new supplier fast?

A second supplier can provide milk powder within a week if Harlow shortens its normal three-month qualification process. Doing so speeds the restart and adds risk. The room has to decide.

Tests: how much supplier risk the room will accept to recover faster, right after a supplier failure.
DAY 10
10:00
INJECT 16ARemediation

Traceability that works

The post-incident review finds the traceability gap made the recall about ten times larger than it needed to be. Fixing it requires new systems at all three plants.

Tests: separating the immediate recovery from the traceability investment the recall exposed.
Path B — the room holds and tests firstTen injects. Holding buys precision, not time — and the product already in people's kitchens isn't on hold.
DAY 2
12:00
INJECT 7BHold

Everything on hold

Harlow places all inventory of the 14 products on hold at its warehouses and asks retailers to stop selling them quietly. One retailer asks whether this is a recall. Harlow says it isn't yet.

Tests: whether a quiet hold is clear enough to protect consumers — and what to call it.
18:00
INJECT 8BRegulators

"Why isn't this a recall?"

Regulators ask why Harlow hasn't recalled product given the illness investigation, and signal they may issue a public warning themselves if Harlow doesn't act.

Tests: the risk of a regulator acting before you do.
DAY 3
10:00
INJECT 9BPublic health

A child is hospitalized

The state health department reports a child hospitalized with the matching strain. The family says the child ate a Harlow snack bar the previous week.

Tests: decision-making when harm may be happening while you're still testing.
15:00
INJECT 10BMedia

A leaked hold notice

A reporter obtains Harlow's hold notice to retailers and asks why consumers haven't been warned about products already in their homes.

Tests: communications when a careful process looks like concealment from the outside.
DAY 4
09:00
INJECT 11BRecall

Recall under pressure

Harlow issues a broad recall — the same scope it declined on Day 2 — now with a news story, a hospitalized child, and regulators already asking why it waited.

Tests: making the harder decision later, and owning the delay.
DAY 5
11:00
INJECT 12BTesting

Two lots positive

Testing finds salmonella in two lots of one product. Harlow now knows which product was contaminated, two days after the broad recall it ended up issuing anyway.

Tests: what the testing gained, and whether it was worth the time it took.
DAY 6
10:00
INJECT 13BLegal

The first lawsuit

The hospitalized child's family files suit, alleging Harlow knew of possible contamination two days before warning the public.

Tests: legal exposure created by the timing of a decision, not just the contamination.
DAY 7
14:00
INJECT 14BCustomers

A private-label customer walks

One of the three private-label grocery chains notifies Harlow it is moving its business to another manufacturer, citing Harlow's handling of the recall.

Tests: customer relationships that depend on how you handle a crisis, not just whether you cause it.
DAY 8
09:00
INJECT 15BDecision point

Pay the medical costs?

The room must decide whether to offer to cover medical costs for anyone who became ill after eating a Harlow product, before liability is established. Counsel warns it could be used against Harlow. The room has to decide.

Tests: a values decision with legal consequences, and whether the room learned anything from waiting the first time.
DAY 10
10:00
INJECT 16BRemediation

Traceability that works

The post-incident review finds that better traceability would have let Harlow recall the right product on Day 1 — narrowly and quickly. Fixing it requires new systems at all three plants.

Tests: separating the immediate recovery from the traceability investment the recall exposed.

What the debrief surfaces.

The two paths are built to converge on the same hard questions, arrived at from opposite directions.

If the room recalled broadly now

  • Were customers, regulators, and the public notified in the right order — and did the sequence hold?
  • Was the consumer hotline sized for the recall that was actually issued?
  • How did the traceability gap shape the size of the recall, and who owns fixing it?

If the room held and tested first

  • Was the risk of harm during testing weighed explicitly against the benefit of precision?
  • Was the quiet hold clear enough to protect consumers who already had the product at home?
  • At what point should the room have revisited its decision, and who was watching for it?
Harlow Foods, Ceres Ingredients, and all named details in this scenario are fictional and created for exercise purposes only.

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This is one scenario. Yours would be built around your business.

The Harlow exercise is a sample — built to show how a supply chain and recall simulation can branch on the decision that actually matters, and stay uncomfortable in both directions. A simulation built for your organization starts with your products, your suppliers, and your traceability.

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Exercises often require access to crisis plans, escalation structures, and vulnerabilities. That material is handled in confidence, and NDAs are available on request.

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